Oscar nominees just came up. Here are my odds for best picture (view post to see full odds):
- “Avatar” 6/5
- “The Hurt Locker” 8/5
- “Inglourious Basterds” 3-1
- “Up in the Air” 8-1
- “Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire” 15-1
- “An Education” 20-1
- “A Serious Man” 35-1
- “District 9” 50-1
- “The Blind Side” 60-1
- “Up” 60-1
What I’m supporting: “Up, Inglourious Basterds, Up in the Air. These films are definitely worth checking out!
What I think will win: Hurt Locker, Avatar
Dark Horse: Inglourious Basterds. This would be a major surprise, but it is coming off wins in the Critics Choice Awards and the Screen Actors Guild Awards. It has a legitimate shot.
What got snubbed?: (500) days of summer.
The race for best picture is determined by the voters of the academy. You can get a good idea of what the academy will vote for if you follow all of the other awards shows. Based on all those awards, the clear frontrunners are Avatar, The Hurt Locker, and, surprisingly, Inglourious Basterds. Up in the Air was initially considered a major contender, but has failed to win any awards in the awards season. I’m glad to see 10 movies nominated for best picture, but the movies in the 5th through 10th slots don’t really have a chance.
